Harley-Davidson Fair Value
HO
The fair market value of HOG stock is 45.1 USD. Relative to the market price of 39.47 USD Harley-Davidson is undervalued by 14.3%
Eyestock's quantitative valuation approach is based on the method of estimating historical multipliers. To determine whether a stock is undervalued, we compare its current price to our estimated of fair value. The more undervalued a stock is, the more investment is profitable.
Fair Relative Value
Harley-Davidson Valuation
Current HOG share ticker price is 39.47 USD.
The fair value level of 45.1 USD can be considered as an effective entry point for long-term investors to start investing in HOG stock. For a more in-depth assessment, we provide a minimum value that can be used to increase a stock position and a maximum one that can be used to reduce it.
Price chart is not available
Current market price
Current price is 14% lower its fair value
Current price is 17% higher its minimum value
Current price is 279% lower its maximum value
Market price:
HOG stock is undervalued
It means the current price may concern as a Moderate Risk Entry Point
Harley-Davidson Inc Stock Valuation Calculator
How do we value a stock?
As fair value, we use the product of the median Price-to-earnings ratios at the end of each reporting period for the last 5 years and earnings per share for the last 12 months. By analogy with the fair value, we calculate the maximum and minimum ones using the corresponding P/E extremums.
1
Maximum P/E over 5 years
30.32
2
Median P/E over 5 years
9.15
3
Minimum P/E over 5 years
6.66
4
Earning per share (last 12 months)
4.93 USD
Maximum value
1
x
4
=
149.49 USD
Fair value
2
x
4
=
45.1 USD
Minimum value
3
x
4
=
32.82 USD
Harley-Davidson Inc price metrics
0.9
Annual return (geometric mean)
49.9
Risk (standard deviation) of returns
β
1.5
Beta (volatility compared to market)